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Lending · Originally published · Updated · 2 min read

Archive: September 2023 research reported higher average landlord mortgage balances

Octane Capital’s reported figures concerned borrowing and loan counts. The accompanying investment opinions were not guaranteed outcomes.

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A September 2023 LandlordZONE article reported research by Octane Capital suggesting that average landlord mortgage debt had increased. The cited figure was £558,423, approximately 19% above the year-earlier comparison. The account also described a rise in the average number of buy-to-let loans held.

The loan-count comparison ran from six in the first quarter of 2022 to 6.7 in the first quarter of 2023. That helped explain why an average balance could change, but the two figures did not establish every borrower’s experience. A larger total can reflect the number and composition of loans as well as changes within an existing portfolio.

Regional differences were prominent in the report. It highlighted stronger changes in places including the West Midlands, South East and East of England. Those comparisons belonged to the research dataset; they were not a complete account of all landlords in each region or a measure of every local housing market.

The article did not provide enough detail to infer the circumstances of an individual borrower from the headline average. Portfolio size, property values, repayment arrangements and the timing of purchases could differ. Nor did a higher mortgage balance alone establish whether a business was profitable or in arrears.

Octane chief executive Jonathan Samuels interpreted the figures as evidence that some owners might reduce activity or leave while others looked for purchases. The accompanying comments about opportunities were industry opinions, rather than a verified promise that acquiring a property would produce a favourable result.

Other commentary in the source suggested that sales to professional landlords could help retain rental supply. That possibility depends on what happens to the actual home after sale. An ownership transaction does not automatically establish either an increase or a decrease in accommodation available to rent.

This retrospective records the September 2023 claims without recommending additional borrowing or an investment strategy. Its useful distinction is between a reported average debt figure and the financial position of a particular owner. Research can identify questions about a market, but it cannot substitute for the evidence needed to assess an individual loan or property.

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